Oregon State vs Louisville Prediction: 2025 College World Series
Last updated June 17, 2025
The Oregon State Beavers and Louisville Cardinals meet Tuesday, June 17, 2025, at 7 p.m. ET in a College World Series elimination game at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. Having each split their opening two games, the Beavers now face a rematch with the Cardinals in the losers' bracket. Bookmakers show Oregon State as the favorite, but the last matchup between these teams suggests we are in for a close contest. Continue reading to get my Oregon State vs Louisville prediction for this elimination matchup.
Our Oregon State vs Louisville Pick
- Pick: Oregon State moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oregon State Beavers vs Louisville Cardinals
- Date & Time: Tuesday, June 17, 2025, 2:00 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha, NE
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| OSU -195 / Louisville +150 | OSU -1.5 (-130) / Louisville +1.5 (+100) | 10.5 runs |
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Oregon State’s Dax Whitney delivered 9 strikeouts over 5.1 innings in the opener, holding Louisville to just one unearned run over that stretch. Louisville’s Patrick Forbes matched that with 10 strikeouts, but OSU was able to walk that game off in the bottom of the ninth. Oregon State has given up nine runs in Omaha over two games, but only three of those were earned runs, meaning they will need to clean things up in the field to advance.
Bullpen usage
Neither bullpen has been used too heavily thus far, so those making college baseball predictions shouldn't worry too much about bullpen status. The day off in between games for both teams should help them to recuperate, though the elimination games are set to come fast and furious from here on out, so the winner could be in some bullpen trouble in the not-too-distant future.
Recent team streaks
- Oregon State and Louisville are both 2-0 after losses in NCAA Tournament play so far this year.
- Oregon State is 12-4-1 on neutral fields this year, Louisville is 5-3.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oregon State won the opening H2H 4–3 but lost their winner's bracket game to Coastal Carolina.
- Both of Oregon State's games in Omaha have stayed under 10 runs, while Louisville has seen one of its games reach double-digits.
Oregon State vs Louisville Model Projection
Score Projection: Oregon State 5 – Louisville 3
Win Probability: Oregon State 62%, Louisville 38%
Final Thoughts
This rematch could come down to whether or not the Beavers can stop beating themselves with fielding mistakes. We have to imagine that they will avoid the errors that have been piling up for them in Omaha, and for their quality to shine through once and for all. Take the Beavers to advance and to end what has been a highly successful season for Louisville in what should be a tight game.
