Murray State vs Duke Prediction: Durham Super Regional Preview
Last updated June 5, 2025
The 2025 NCAA Baseball Super Regionals bring an intriguing showdown between the underdog Murray State Racers and the seasoned Duke Blue Devils. Set to begin on Saturday, June 7, at Durham's Jack Coombs Field, this best-of-three series promises exciting action as both teams vie for a coveted spot in the College World Series. Below, we will make our Murray State vs Duke prediction as a part of our betting picks for the 2025 college baseball tournament.
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Murray State vs Duke Super Regionals Preview
Murray State's journey to the Super Regionals has been nothing short of remarkable. Entering the Oxford Regional as the lowest seed, the Racers defied expectations by toppling No. 10 seed Ole Miss twice and outlasting Georgia Tech. Their offensive prowess was on full display, averaging 10.5 runs per game during the regional, culminating in a thrilling 12-11 victory over Ole Miss to clinch their spot in the Super Regionals.
Offensively, the Racers are led by standout performers:
- Jonathan Hogart: Batting .339 with 19 home runs and 62 RBIs, showcasing a slugging percentage of .695.
- Dom Decker: Holding a .346 average and a .496 on-base percentage, contributing significantly to the team's run production.
- Luke Mistone: Posting a .344 average with 17 doubles, making him a headache for opposing pitchers.
On the other side, Duke enters the Super Regionals with a 40-19 record, having secured the Athens Regional title. They beat Oklahoma State twice and Georgia once. The Blue Devils boast a balanced attack and a deep pitching staff, attributes that have been instrumental in their postseason success.
Key contributors for Duke include:
- Ben Miller: Leading the team with a .325 average, 20 home runs, and 62 RBIs, providing a powerful presence in the lineup.
- Tyler Albright: Maintaining a .304 average and a .443 on-base percentage, adding speed and consistency at the top of the order.
- Wallace Clark: Offering a .310 average and a .475 on-base percentage, drawing over 50 walks on the year.
Duke's pitching rotation, anchored by consistent starters and a reliable bullpen, has been a cornerstone of their success, particularly in high-pressure situations.
Betting Insights
Going into the Supers, Duke is favored to advance at -410, while Murray State is +290 to move onto Omaha. Several factors could influence bettors' perspectives:
- Home-Field Advantage: Duke's familiarity with Jack Coombs Field and the support of the home crowd could provide a significant edge.
- Offensive Firepower: Both teams possess potent offenses, suggesting the potential for high-scoring games.
- Pitching Depth: Duke's deeper pitching staff may offer an advantage in managing the series' demands.
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Murray State vs Duke Super Regionals Prediction
This Super Regional matchup pits the Cinderella story of Murray State against the established talent of Duke. The Racers' offensive surge has been impressive, but sustaining that momentum against Duke's seasoned pitching staff presents a difficult challenge.
Duke's combination of offensive consistency, pitching depth, and home-field advantage positions them favorably in this series. While Murray State's hot bats cannot be ignored, the Blue Devils’ well-rounded approach and experience in high-stakes games give them the edge and we will make our college baseball picks for this series accordingly.
Prediction: Duke wins the series 2-1, advancing to the College World Series.
