Tennis is one of the most popular sports to bet on in the US. To enhance your tennis betting skills we advise you first to understand how tennis betting works, where to place your bets, how to claim the best tennis sportsbook promos, and last but not least get access to our expert tennis picks. Our tennis betting predictions are free and provided to you to help you make educated decisions when betting on tennis.
Combining a wager with an attractive promotion is essential when betting on tennis. Let us explain why by demonstrating a common betting scenario.
A sports bettor is looking for a pick for the US Open final between Nadal and Djokovic. At Sqore.com, Nadal is a +1.5 set line pick. The sports bettor has an account with a sportsbook and decides to place a $1000 bet with that sportsbook. Unfortunately, the bet is lost, and the bankroll is now $1000 less.
If the sports bettor had picked up a new sportsbook account, for example, BetMGM Sportsbook, he would have received a $1000 first bet risk-free. So in the above scenario, the $1000 lost bet would have been converted into $1000 in bonus bet credits at BetMGM for future bets. The more cases you can bet with a great promo offer, the better.
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Learning how to predict a tennis game is vital if you want to succeed in tennis betting. The many available statistics can help you analyze and make the best picks from the dozens of tennis matches weekly - for instance, tennis world rankings, player profile performance statistics, and previous head-to-heads.
Using statistics is crucial for any tennis bettor but there are more things to look for in your pre-game betting analysis.
It may be challenging to select between two competitors. However, you can make the best decision by betting on the player based on these tennis matches prediction techniques:
5 things to look for when betting on tennis: Live & Pre-Game Betting Strategies
- Check the H2H stats - Surface & Recent form
- Analyze player's style of play - Advantages and disadvantages
- Break Points Conversion - Study players' behavior under pressure
- Serve Quality - First Serve Percentage & Second Serve Win Ratio
- Winners vs Unforced Error Ratio - How solid is the game plan
1. Insight from Tennis Head-to-Heads
The goal of looking at head-to-head records is to assess if a player has the capacity to beat the best players. This is important in order to succeed in Slams and other major tournaments.
In some respects, the activity aims to highlight some rising athletes' potential. The records also include the results of matches, performances by different players, as well as their scores.
For instance, player B has played against player D five times and won four times. However, player B won four times on hard courts while D's one win was on clay. Therefore, there is a good chance that player D will do better if the next match between them is played on clay.
Another important factor when analyzing H-2-H stats is when the games were played and how the player's form was at that time, potential injuries, and how their game level capacity has evolved over time.
Watching the World Rankings vs the Calendar Year Rankings
The world rankings use the number of accrued points players over the last year. Each player receives points for reaching various stages of games, tournaments, and championships. Tennis World Rankings run on a 12-month rolling basis, so they quickly alter.
Therefore, an excellent way to monitor the progress of any type of player is by watching the world rankings vs the calendar year rankings.
The calendar year ranking will show the more recent form while the overall world rankings show how consistent a player is over time.
2. Player profile performance statistics - How does the players' style of play stand up vs the opponent
Player profiles are simple to locate, they are available online. The best profiles are replete with statistics to help you make the right pick when betting on tennis. The profile information can include simple details like whether a player uses a single-handed backhand or a double-handed one.
This information can help you compile your statistics about players' performance against the different player styles you discover.
Players' records show how players have played on clay, grass, indoors, outdoors, and against left- or right-handers. Players' profiles also contain records of their wins and losses. These results can help predict a game.
3. Break Points Conversion
What makes some players stand out is how they step up their level of play in the most decisive moments of a match. Converting or saving break points is one of those crucial stats that will most likely change the outcome of a tennis match.
Some players have that mental toughness and even though they might be the weaker player they are most likely going to end up winning the game no matter what. For an inexperienced tennis bettor, missing out on the key moments of a tennis match, is probably where most bets are lost.
4. Serve Quality
The most important shot in tennis is the serve. A good server can beat almost anyone. Taking the example of John Isner, one of the best servers to play the game, can beat anyone just by having a high percentage of first serves in. When analyzing the serve quality you need to study how the player has performed recently and recent results in the tournament that is being played.
Isner is a typical example of a player that performs very well on home soil and collects most of his ATP points in tournaments in the US, especially from east coast tournaments. One of the reasons for this is how good he is serving in those tournaments.
5. Winner vs Unforced Errors
Everybody loves to see winners but it is the low percentage of unforced errors that will make you win tennis games. The best players rarely miss. The winners vs unforced ratio is also a great way to understand the actual form of a player. Follow the trends and if an aggressive player is hitting fewer winners but is decreasing his unforced errors, even more, see that as a good sign of good form.
A tennis expert would see this as a sign of calm and confidence in the game plan. Trying to hit winners from tough court positions is usually never a winning strategy.
To begin with, every bettor should know the different betting markets in tennis — and how they work. You'll understand the best predictions to opt for about the operator's game odds when you do.
Below are some tennis bet types we might suggest picks for. There are plenty of more betting options you can choose from but from a betting perspective, we prefer the following.
Pre-Game and/or Live Betting
Bettors generally have two betting options for college tennis: you can place pre-game bets or wager on live betting. If you place pre-game bets, you are wagering your money on a sports event scheduled for later. This can be days or weeks before the event occurs, and are then called future bets, but it requires you to analyze a game thoroughly.
The other option is wagering on live events, where you place bets on ongoing events.
We recommend a split approach for tennis betting. Place future bets based on the techniques provided above but also follow the game and place in-play bets. Betting on live tennis will give you answers to a lot of those questions you might have thought about while analyzing the game.
Total Games - Over/Under Bet
A standard bet is the game totals over/under chance. In this type of bet, you need to predict the total games scored in a match to be over or under a value specified by the sportsbook.
Tennis is played with points: a game won with four points, a set won with six games, and a match won with two or three sets. You can bet whether the total games a player will get in a match is over or under X games.
|Total Games - Match||Over||Under|
Match Winner - Money Line Tennis Betting
The Money Line bet is probably the least complicated betting market for tennis and any sports. Betting on a tennis match on the Money line means wagering on one of the two players playing to win.
In addition, you can bet on the favorite or the underdog. Betting on the favorite means a lower payout, and betting on the underdog means a higher payout. In the example below John Isner is the favorite to win (moneyline) over Hugo Gaston.
|J.Isner -333||H.Gaston +240|
Set Spread - Against the Spread
Betting against the spread means wagering on a player that has to win more than the set spread, or you lose. The sportsbook gives a player a negative or positive advantage in this instance.
For example, in tennis, the set spread is usually set at +-1.5 sets. For you to win this bet, the player has to win or lose by a margin of at least 2 sets.
|Who will win the match (set spread)?|
|John Isner -1.5||-120|
|Hugo Gaston +1.5||-115|
Proposition bets are unlike the ones we've mentioned; where those are traditional markets, this type is unique. Tennis betting sites offer proposition bets, a particular betting type that isn't linked with the overall outcome. When it comes to proposition bets, you have many options.
Betting on futures for tennis is a lot of fun. When betting on futures you are betting on something that is about to happen in a week, month, or year, etc, you are betting on the future.
For example, you can place future bets on the Tournament winners, Grand Slam winners, and a player to make the calendar Grand Slam. There are tons of future bets available for tennis betting.
|ATP Masters Miami 2022 Tournament Winner|
|D. Medvedev +300||C. Alcaraz +550||A. Zverev +550|
|S. Tsitsipas +1100||A. Rublev +1200||F, Auger-Aliassime +1400|
|N. Kyrgios +2000||J. Sinner +2200||H. Hurkacz +2500|
Tennis tournaments happen every day in many locations, and you can place bets on most of them. The best betting sites offer wagers on women's WTA tournaments and men's ATP tournaments.
There are four Grand Slam tournaments held every year. The relevant countries are France, the USA, Australia, and Great Britain. The Association of Tennis Professionals organizes ATP tournaments; the group originated in London in 1972. The ATP tournaments have four stages, including Masters 1000, Masters 500, Masters 250, and Challenger.
Monte Carlo Tennis Masters - One of the most beautiful tennis stadiums in the world
The ATP World Tour Finals is the last big tennis event, with eight top-ranking professionals partaking in it. It is the next most important competition for a player after the four Grand Slam tournaments. These Grand Slam events are played over the best of five sets, as opposed to the best-of-three set matches in other tennis tournaments.
The longer format reduces the number of unexpected victories, and elite players give it all to win, making tennis betting attractive for gamblers.
The best tennis tournaments to wager on include the following:
- The US Open in New York,
- The French Open
- The Australian Open
- The Summer Olympics
- ATP tournaments, including Masters 1000, ATP 500, and ATP 250,
- ATP World Tour Finals,
- WTA Premier, WTA International,
- The Davis Cup,
- The Fed Cup,
- The Hopman Cup, and
- ITF tournaments
The Four Grand Slams
The four Grand Slams are a series of yearly tennis tournaments. The Australian Open, the French Open, Wimbledon, and the US Open is among them. Tennis players need to win four major tournaments to win a grand slam, even though the Summer Olympics is sometimes considered the fifth. They partake in this played every fourth year.
The four grand slams have different scheduling and follow other formats. Each tournament has seven men's and women's singles match rounds, climaxing with the Men's singles final. However, the number of days played and the rounds played are different.
For example, Wimbledon has no play on middle Sunday, French Open starts on a Sunday, the Australian Open finals occur at night, and the US Open men's final happens on a Monday.
The men's Grand Slam events are best-of-five-set matches, while the women's Grand Slam tournaments are best-of-three-set matches. This provides excellent tennis odds and Grand Slam betting opportunities to bettors.
It's hard to predict the outcome of a tennis game yourself with certainty. We use different analytics and resources to give you the facts you need to predict accurately. You could improve your chances if you follow the tips in this guide.