Arkansas vs Murray State Prediction: 2025 College World Series
Last updated June 15, 2025
With both squads looking to stay in Omaha, Monday’s clash between Arkansas and Murray State in the College World Series loser’s bracket is an important one. Arkansas dropped its opener to LSU 4–1, while Murray State lost 6-4 to UCLA in their first game. Here, we make our Arkansas vs Murray State prediction, as we continue to make college baseball betting picks for every game of this year's College World Series.
Our Arkansas vs Murray State Pick
Pick: Arkansas to win, lay the runline when it is available.
Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Murray State Racers
- Date & Time: Monday, June 16, 2025 at 2:00 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha, NE
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Team | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Arkansas | -560 |
| Murray State | +370 |
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
- Arkansas pitched respectably in their loss to LSU, giving up just four runs to one of the best teams in the country. They will look to sustain that here against Murray State to keep their season alive.
- Murray State gave up six runs in the first four innings against UCLA in their CWS opener. But they steadied things after that, shutting the Bruins down for the remainder of the game to give the Racers a chance to come back.
Bullpen Usage
- Arkansas bullpen has been well-managed so far, with reliable arms not overworked to this point in Omaha.
- Murray State’s bullpen is battle-tested from its dramatic Super Regional and they could lean on Dylan Zentko again after he threw 2.2 scoreless innings against UCLA.
Recent Team Streaks
- Arkansas kicked off its postseason strong with 5 straight wins before stumbling in Omaha’s opener.
- Murray State is 5-3 in tournament play and will be expected to see their season end in this game.
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first head-to-head matchup all-time between Arkansas and Murray State and it could not come on a bigger stage.
Arkansas vs Murray State Model Projection
Score Projection: Arkansas 6 – Murray State 3
Win Probability: Arkansas 72%, Murray State 28%
Final Thoughts
Arkansas’ depth on the mound, balanced lineup and SEC pedigree make it tough to bet against in a bounce-back spot and an elimination game. Murray State enters with plenty of heart, but the Razorbacks’ combination of pitching and run production should be enough to cover the runline while keeping their season going. Expect a controlled, confident Razorbacks victory as they stave off elimination and reassert themselves as one of the tournament favorites.
