Arkansas vs LSU Prediction: 2025 College World Series Semifinals
Last updated June 18, 2025
SEC rivals will meet again in the College World Series semifinals, as the Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers match up in Omaha. The Tigers are unbeaten in CWS play so far and will look to punch their ticket to the championship series with a win. Meanwhile, Arkansas will look to force a winner-take-all elimination game on Thursday with a victory here. As part of our ongoing college baseball betting picks from Omaha, continue reading to get our Arkansas vs LSU prediction for Wednesday night.
Our Arkansas vs LSU Pick
- Pick: LSU Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks vs LSU Tigers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, June 18, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Charles Schwab Field, Omaha, NE
- Broadcast: ESPN
| Moneyline | Runline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | -130 | -1.5 (+135) | Over 10.5 (-120) |
| LSU | +100 | +1.5 (-175) | Under 10.5 (-110) |
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
The pitching situation for both teams is interesting coming into this game. Arkansas' starting pitcher will be a spot to watch in particular. It is highly unlikely that they throw Gage Wood again after he threw 119 pitches just a couple of days ago. We could see a lot of Gabe Gaeckle, who threw six innings against LSU in the first game of the CWS for the Hogs. But in any case, LSU will be fresher from a pitching perspective by virtue of playing fewer games in Omaha so far.
Bullpen Usage
Bullpen usage is another advantage that the Tigers have going into this game. They have only played two games in the CWS and the majority of their opener was handled by starter Kade Anderson, who threw seven innings in that opening win. If this becomes a battle of the bullpens, LSU has a rest advantage that could tilt things in their favor.
Recent Team Streaks
- LSU has won five straight games and has lost just once in NCAA tournament play so far.
- Arkansas has won two games in a row since their CWS-opening loss to LSU on Saturday.
Betting Trends & H2H
- LSU is 3-1 against Arkansas so far this season.
- LSU has outscored Arkansas 26-15 in their four meetings this year.
LSU vs Arkansas Model Projection
Score Projection: LSU 6 - Arkansas 5
Win Probability: LSU 52%, Arkansas 48%
Final Thoughts
✅ LSU hasn't had to play as much baseball as Arkansas in Omaha, which could work in their favor in these semifinals.
The head-to-head series between these teams and the rest advantage for LSU both point to LSU grabbing the victory in this contest and eliminating their SEC rivals Arkansas. LSU and Arkansas were the two favorites to win the title going into the College World Series. And while it is unfortunate that they had to play each other so early in the competition, LSU is simply playing at a higher level right now and should close this half of the bracket out without a second semifinal game.
