Piera Rodriguez vs Kay Hansen Pick & Promo

April 7, 2022

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10:00 PM ET Apr 9
Piera Rodriguez vs Kay Hansen
Rodriguez
-125
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Piera Rodriguez -125 vs Kay Hansen

✅ Piera Rodriguez will make her UFC debut against Kay Hansen. Rodriguez is a fighter that will find some success in the UFC and notch multiple wins. She is well rounded and is a crisp striker. She will have a significant advantage in that area of this fight. Her boxing will simply be levels above that of Hansen. The striking will certainly be her path of least resistance, and if I were her coaches, that’s where I would dictate this fight take place. Rodriguez is the better wrestler but not the better grappler. She will need to be careful if she decides to wrestle offensively. 

✅ This is a spot where I am quite certain Hansen will be looking for takedowns. That will hold especially true  when the striking starts veering hard the way of Rodriguez. The only real advantage Hansen has in this fight will be on the mat. Hansen was able to get a slick armbar in her UFC debut, but has a pair of decision losses since then. She is not a fighter that will often look good in the eyes of the judges. Her stand up just leaves something to be desired and she does not have real pop. I do have difficulty seeing the paths to victory for Hansen outside of finding another submission. She is at the lower level of the UFC roster, and is just 7-5 as a pro MMA fighter. 

✅ Ultimately it will be Rodriguez winning this fight, likely on the judge's scorecards. She has a real advantage in teh stand up and will land more often and certainly land the more effective strikes. This line is much tighter than it should be, and that is due to am inaccurate opening line. Hansen opened as a moderate favorite and the public quickly shifted Rodriguez to being the favorite. 

Betting Pick: Rodriguez -125

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TJ Calkins
TJ Calkins was raised in a gambling loving household. He knew how to handicap horse races and follow line movements well before his tenth birthday. While sports betting remained a passion into adulthood, poker and Daily Fantasy Sports also became passions and remain as such today.