Oklahoma vs. Baylor Betting Preview

Last updated November 16, 2021 | Published November 12, 2021

This will be a battle between two very different offensive styles and two defenses with a lot of question marks. Oklahoma enters this game protecting a perfect 9-0 record, though it hasn't always looked the part of an unbeaten team this season. Baylor is a threat in the Big 12 with a few marquee wins under its belt this season both inside and outside the conference. 

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Betting Pick

Baylor +6

Baylor hosts Oklahoma at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas at noon Eastern on Saturday, November 13, 2021.

Why bet on the Bears:

✅ Baylor averages more than 230 rushing yards per game, led by more than 117 yards per game by Abram Smith, who is averaging more than seven yards per carry and has scored 11 rushing touchdowns. Each of Oklahoma's last five opponents have rushed for at least 100 yards, including two of the last three who eclipsed 160 rushing yards.

✅ Oklahoma is averaging more than 180 rushing yards per game and has scored 22 rushing touchdowns. However, in the last four games, Baylor has not allowed anyone to rush for more than 102 yards and is holding teams to less than three yards per carry.

✅ The Bears have registered 14 of their 20 sacks on the season in the past four games, and half of Oklahoma's Big 12 opponents this year have sacked the Sooners quarterback at least three times. Oklahoma has lost 101 total yards on 18 sacks allowed this season and the Bears have forced 110 lost yards on their 14 sacks over the past four games.

✅ This is Oklahoma's fourth road game of the season, but only the third time it has faced a true road game. Two of those three games ended in one-score victories and the Sooners trailed by double-digits at the half in two of the three games. In their last five trips to Waco, the Sooners are 3-2 with no win by more than 10 points.

✅ Baylor is a perfect 5-0 at home this season, which includes two wins over teams ranked in the top-20 at the time of the contest and a third that was receiving votes. The Bears have scored at least 31 points in all five of those games and none of their opponents have scored more than 29 points.


The Sooners have not made anything easy of themselves this season with several close calls to ruining their perfect season. Oklahoma might be 9-0, but it needed a quarterback change to rally against Texas then trailed for long stretches against Kansas before pulling away in the fourth quarter. Caleb Williams has sparked the offense since being inserted at quarterback, making Oklahoma far more potent on the attack. But the Sooners defense is a question mark, especially against the better offenses in the Big 12, with four FBS teams putting up at least 30 points on the Sooners. 


Baylor ruined its chance last week to make this a very special game in Waco, but the Bears are still a team to be reckoned with at 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the Big 12. Abram Smith powers the Baylor rushing attack alongside Trestan Ebner, making life much easier for Gerry Bohanon and the passing game. The defense has been much improved the last four weeks against the run, but that has left the secondary vulnerable to be exploited. However, the Bears are 5-0 at home and only one team has scored more than 24 points in McLane Stadium this year against Baylor.

Baylor +6
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Josh Walfish
Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has covered college sports for the past decade. He most-recently was chronicling the UMass Minutemen and now works as a freelancer writer and editor based out of Chicago.