Edmonton’s Scoring Edge Points to Oilers Win
— Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues Prediction on March 13, 2026
The Edmonton Oilers head to St. Louis after a brutal 7 to 2 loss in Dallas, while the St. Louis Blues return home fresh off a 3 to 1 win in Carolina. That creates an interesting NHL pick because the Oilers still bring the far more dangerous offense, but the Blues have been playing better hockey over the last two weeks and have started to collect wins with more consistency.
Edmonton still owns the higher ceiling because Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl can flip a game in a hurry. St. Louis, though, has been cleaner defensively lately and has made this a much tighter betting spot than the season-long numbers alone would suggest. The question is whether the Oilers respond sharply after Thursday’s collapse or whether the Blues drag this into another lower-event game on home ice.
Our Oilers vs Blues Pick
📌 Pick: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline -148
📈 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues
- Date & Time: March 13, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri
- Broadcast: ESPN+ and Hulu
| Moneyline | Puckline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Oilers -148 | Blues +124 | Oilers -1.5 +160 | Blues +1.5 -192 | Over 6.5 -115 | Under 6.5 -105 |
Key Storylines
Recent form
Edmonton enters this game with a mixed run that still feels unstable. The Oilers beat Colorado 4 to 3 on March 10 and handled Vegas 4 to 2 two nights earlier, but those wins were followed by a blowout loss in Dallas on Thursday. That 7 to 2 defeat pushed Edmonton to 4 wins in its last 11 games, which is a weak stretch for a team with this much top-end talent. The offense is still dangerous, but the defensive side has been too loose and the goaltending has not fully settled things down.
St. Louis is coming in with a better recent profile. The Blues beat Carolina 3 to 1 on Thursday, and that came after a 4 to 0 win at Anaheim on Sunday. They did lose 4 to 3 in overtime against the Islanders earlier this week, but the overall trend has improved. St. Louis has won 6 of its last 10 games and has started to get stronger results from a team that looked buried for long stretches earlier in the season. The offense is still light compared to Edmonton, though the Blues have done a much better job lately of keeping games in their preferred range.
Injury Update
Edmonton has a few depth absences to manage. Ty Emberson and Colton Dach are listed out, while Mattias Janmark and Curtis Lazar remain on injured reserve. St. Louis has a lighter injury report with Jonathan Drouin listed out for this game. The bigger takeaway is that Edmonton is a little thinner down the lineup, while St. Louis appears close to full strength in most of its core rotation.
Goaltending
This is one of the most important parts of the handicap. Edmonton has several options, but none of them has fully calmed the picture over the full season. Connor Ingram has the cleanest current line among the Oilers goalies with a 2.79 goals against average and a .892 save percentage. Tristan Jarry started Thursday in Dallas and was hit hard, so Edmonton may need a steadier answer here if it wants to avoid another wide-open script.
St. Louis has the clearer split. Jordan Binnington has 10 wins with a 3.47 goals against average and a .872 save percentage, while Joel Hofer has been much stronger at 16 wins, a 2.73 goals against average, a .905 save percentage, and 5 shutouts. If St. Louis turns to Hofer, the Blues have a much better chance of keeping this game in a controlled range. If it is Binnington again after Thursday’s 31-save effort in Carolina, there is more volatility on the table.
Key skaters
- Connor McDavid leads Edmonton with 110 points, 36 goals, and 74 assists. He remains the most important player in this game because St. Louis does not really have a clean answer for his pace or his vision once the game opens up.
- Leon Draisaitl has 34 goals, 61 assists, and 95 points. He gives Edmonton another elite finisher and keeps the Oilers dangerous even when defenses sell out to slow McDavid.
- Evan Bouchard is central to Edmonton’s attack from the back end and just scored in the loss at Dallas. His ability to drive pucks through traffic matters against a Blues team that prefers to collapse in its own zone.
- Robert Thomas leads St. Louis with 42 points, 15 goals, and 27 assists. He is the engine of the Blues offense and the player most likely to keep them connected if this game turns into a skill battle.
- Jordan Kyrou has 15 goals and 19 assists. His speed gives St. Louis a way to threaten off the rush, which matters against an Edmonton defense that has been shaky in transition coverage.
- Jimmy Snuggerud is worth mentioning because he just scored 2 goals in Carolina and has caught fire over the last few games. The Blues need that sort of extra offense if they want to trade with the Oilers.
Betting Trends & H2H
The puckline is worth a look because St. Louis has been playing tighter games lately and Edmonton has not exactly been steamrolling teams during this run. Still, the moneyline feels cleaner because the Oilers carry such a large offensive edge and do not need a multi-goal win to cash. The total is set at 6.5, which makes sense. Edmonton games often lean high because the Oilers score plenty and give up too much, while St. Louis has leaned under more often due to weaker offense and slower game flow.
Home and road splits add a little caution to the Edmonton side. The Oilers are 16 to 15 and 4 away from home, which is only modest. St. Louis is 14 to 12 and 7 at home, not dominant but good enough to be respected. Edmonton did beat the Blues 5 to 0 on January 18 in the previous meeting, so the season series edge belongs to the Oilers entering this game. The broader numbers still lean clearly toward Edmonton as well. The Oilers score 3.53 goals per game compared with 2.63 for St. Louis, and their power play has been one of the best units in the league.
Oilers vs Blues Model Projection
🏒 Score Projection: Edmonton Oilers 4 – St. Louis Blues 3
📊 Win Probability: Edmonton Oilers 57%, St. Louis Blues 43%
Final Thoughts
St. Louis has been the steadier team lately, and the Blues deserve credit for making this a much more competitive spot than it looked a few weeks ago. Even so, Edmonton still owns the strongest offensive weapons on the ice by a wide margin, and that matters a lot in a game lined this closely. The Oilers are coming off an ugly loss, which often sharpens the focus on a team with this much talent. If McDavid and Draisaitl get even average support in net, Edmonton has the better path to take 2 points. St. Louis can absolutely hang around, especially if its goalie plays well, but the safer side is still the Oilers on the moneyline.
Best Bet: Oilers ML -148 ✔️