Guardians vs Renegades XFL Pick & Sportsbook Promos 3/5/23

Last updated March 1, 2023

4:00 PM ET Mar 5
Guardians vs Renegades
Guardians +9.5

In Week 3 of the XFL season, the Orlando Guardians and Arlington Renegades will face off in a battle of teams with one combined win so far on the year. Guardians head coach Terrell Buckley said that he saw zero positives from his team's performance last week, while the Renegades have plenty to improve on in their own right. Here, we make our XFL betting picks for Guardians vs Renegades, and look at the top sportsbook promotions for the game as well.

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The Pick: Guardians +9.5
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Why bet on the Guardians:

✅ Arlington has been awful offensively so far this year, needing multiple pick sixes of Luis Perez to get their only win of the season
✅ The Guardians are 0-2, but they have scored more offensive touchdowns than the Renegades through two weeks
✅ This point spread is more than a full possession in the XFL, even with a touchdown and a three-point conversion, which is too many points to lay in this league early on

TeamsOrlando Guardians vs Arlington Renegades
WhenSunday, March 5, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET
VenueChoctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX
Betting PickGuardians +9.5 over Renegades

Best Guardians vs Renegades Sportsbook Promo

The best sportsbook promo for this Guardians vs Renegades matchup in the XFL can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook. There, new customers can place a $5 bet on this game with their first wager on the site. If that bet is a winner, DraftKings will pay out an extra $150 in bonus bets, on top of any winnings from that $5 bet.

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Orlando Guardians

The Orlando Guardians have been unquestionably the worst team in the XFL so far this season. They have dropped their first two games to the Roughnecks and Brahmas, giving up an average of 31.5 points per game while scoring just 12.0 points per game. Here, they will look to turn things around, starting with the Arlington Renegades on the road.

Guardians coach Terrell Buckley made his displeasure known with his team's performance after Week 2 against San Antonio, but it is unclear as to where their improvement is going to come from. They have thrown a league-high four interceptions so far this season, and limiting their turnovers would be a great starting point as they attempt to resemble something of a professional football team.

Arlington Renegades

The Arlington Renegades are 1-1 to start this season, but they have not been impressive on the offensive side of the ball at all. They have a total of two offensive touchdowns so far this season, with their defense packing more of a scoring punch than their offense so far. That is uncharacteristic of a Bob Stoops coached team, and the Renegades will need to find some offense to avoid a humiliating defeat as a heavy favorite against Orlando.

It has been inexplicable to see Drew Plitt as the starter of the Renegades so far this season. With a more talented and more experienced option in Kyle Sloter wasting away on the bench, the Renegades' offensive rut could remain unless Stoops makes a significant change at the most important position on the field.

Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is a sports writer and broadcaster from Albany, NY. He has covered sports betting and the gambling industry since 2013.